Decision making under uncertainty: Bridging the gap between end user needs and climate science capability
Current factors that prevent decision makers making robust adaptation decisions about climate related risks were identified in this study as: uncertainty in climate information, misunderstanding/misuse of key terminology, poor communication and/or packaging of climate science information, and a lack of appropriate decision support tools that can adequately account for uncertainty, and are capable of dealing with non-climatic influences on decision making. Recommendations proposed to address these gaps between climate science and climate change action include: (1) A formalised 'knowledge broker' program to communicate and translate information between science providers and end users; (2) Development of a 'terms of reference' for key climate change related words, agreed upon by both climate science providers and end users to reduce confusion; (3) Additional research into natural variability and baseline risk, in order to establish a realistic background against which climate change projections and associated uncertainty can be assessed; and (4) Development of decision support tools that deal explicitly with uncertainty.
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